After Donald Trump becomes president again, he is on the hook for achieving a hefty chunk of his campaign promises even before the day is out. One of those promises is to make you dizzy.
"Your head will spin when you see what's going to happen," he said of Day 1.
As other presidents have done — and as Trump did aggressively and with decidedly mixed results in his first term — he will quickly test the limits of his executive power.
Here's a closer look at what he promised to do on Day 1:
IMMIGRATION
Deportations
What he said in the campaign: "On Day 1, I will launch the largest deportation program in American history. I will rescue every city and town that has been invaded and conquered." — Kinston, North Carolina, rally, Nov. 3.
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What he could do: Under this core promise, Trump would unilaterally declare a national emergency to set the stage for tracking down millions of people in the United States illegally and holding them in huge detention centers until they can be removed from the country. Domestic police forces and the National Guard in some states could be empowered to help federal agents in the effort. As a disincentive to cross into the U.S. illegally, it is untested. Illegal crossings surged during the Biden administration before dropping recently and hovering near a four-year low.
How serious is he?:Â Trump made this central promise in rally after rally and in other public comments. It's unclear whether the declaration of a national emergency would come as part of his Day 1 launch or after.
Since the election: Trump said in an interview with Time magazine that the federal prohibition on using military forces for most domestic security enforcement should not apply "if it's an invasion of our country, and I consider it an invasion of our country."
Closing the U.S. border
What he said in the campaign: "And on Day 1, I will close the border, and I will stop the invasion of illegal criminals coming into our country." — Coachella, California, rally, Oct. 12.
How serious is he?: Not serious about closing U.S. land borders, as promised. Instead, he aims to come forward with Day 1 administrative action tightening enforcement against criminal entry.
Since the election: Trump adviser Jason Miller walked it back: "Now, when you say close the border, the impression is that nobody's allowed to go back and forth. What the border will be closed to is for people trying to enter the United States illegally. So there's a distinction. I want to make sure people don't think that all of a sudden, like all trade between the countries or traditional commerce or it's going to be shut down." — Interview with NPR News, Dec. 17.
Ending automatic citizenship
What he said in the campaign: "I will sign a Day 1 executive order ending automatic citizenship for the children of illegal aliens." — Pickens, South Carolina, rally, July 1, 2023.
What it means if he keeps the promise: Trump is extremely unlikely to be able to achieve his promise by mere executive order, because birthright citizenship is enshrined in the Constitution. He could only embark on a daunting quest to build the support that would be needed not just to win congressional approval but to change the 14th Amendment, which states: "All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside."
Since the election: In a remark conceding an executive order may not be enough to end birthright citizenship: "We'll maybe have to go back to the people." — NBC's "Meet the Press," Dec. 8.
TARIFFS
The (post-election) promise: Impose a 25% tariff on all imports from Canada and Mexico and put an additional 10% tariff on everything from China, as one of his first executive orders upon becoming president.
What it means if he keeps the promise: A seismic shock to the highly integrated North American economies, almost certainly resulting in higher prices for consumers and probably retaliation against U.S. exports. It would also strengthen incentives to produce more in the U.S. and step up pressure to restrain migrant flows and drug smuggling.
How serious is he?: Trump clearly supports raising tariffs to induce more domestic manufacturing. But his threat could be a bargaining chip in part. The size and scope of the tariffs may change, depending how the three countries respond before he takes office.
Since the election: "We adjust it somewhat" if tariffs are merely passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices, as is usually the case. — "Meet the Press," Dec. 8.
In the past: Trump imposed higher tariffs on $360 billion in Chinese goods in his first term. Democrat Joe Biden not only retained those penalties as president but imposed a 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles. Trump also renegotiated parts of the free trade agreement with Canada and Mexico on terms he considered more favorable to the U.S.
TRANSGENDER RIGHTS
The promise: "On Day 1, I will sign a new executive order to cut federal funding for any school, pushing critical race theory, transgender insanity, and other inappropriate racial, sexual, or political content onto the shoulders of our children. And I will not give one penny to any school that has a vaccine mandate or a mask mandate. — Atlanta rally, Aug. 3.
What it means if he keeps his promise: Such broad cuts are unlikely to be achieved through executive action, absent legislation, which certainly won't be in place on his first day. Still, Trump may be able to use his threat as a cudgel in certain situations. Trump had also promised on Day 1 to roll back Biden administration Title IX protections barring discrimination against students based on gender identity and sexual orientation. But this month a federal judge struck down those regulations, ruling that they overstepped presidential authority.
ELECTRIC VEHICLES
What he said in the campaign: "'I will end the electric vehicle mandate on Day 1." — Republican National Convention speech, July 18.
What it means if he keeps his promise: Not totally clear, because there is no specific federal EV mandate to end. But he is likely to try to loosen Biden-era tailpipe pollution and fuel economy standards that are an incentive for automakers to sell and consumers to buy more EVs. It's also unclear whether Trump intends to revoke a federal tax credit of up to $7,500 for buying a new EV.
How serious is he?: He made the Day 1 promise in rally after rally, often in identical words. He told podcaster Joe Rogan it might take him two days.
Since the election: "We want people to buy electric cars" but "we're going to end the electric mandate immediately for the cars. It's ridiculous." — "Meet the Press," Dec. 8.
In the past: Trump rolled back a variety of Obama-era limits on auto pollution in his first term. Biden acted quickly to reverse that course.
JAN. 6
The promise: Pardon some or many of the people convicted of or charged with crimes from the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol.
What he said in the campaign: "The moment we win, we will rapidly review the cases of every political prisoner unjustly victimized by the Harris regime, and I will sign their pardons on Day 1." — Mosinee, Wisconsin, rally, Sept. 7.
What it means if he keeps his promise: Freedom and cleared criminal records for some of those imprisoned for Jan. 6 crimes and impunity for others convicted or awaiting trial. As he has described his promised process, it also means his transition team is reviewing Jan. 6 cases to deem who merits a Jan. 20 pardon, independently of how courts ruled.
How serious is he?: A key promise, made repeatedly, though the scope of his promised pardons has ranged from covering all rioters who were charged or convicted, to most, to those who are innocent in his estimation, whether convicted or not.
Since the election: "We're going to look at each individual case, and we're going to do it very quickly, and it's going to start in the first hour that I get into office. And a vast majority of them should not be in jail." — Time magazine, Dec. 12.
ENERGY
What he said in the campaign: "Starting on Day 1, I will approve new drilling, new pipelines, new refineries, new power plants, new reactors, and we will slash the red tape." — Potterville, Michigan rally, Aug. 29.
What it means if he keeps his promise: It remains questionable how much can be accomplished on this front without action from Congress. But he can reverse Biden executive orders on renewable energy and environmental protections.
How serious is he?: Very. "Drill, baby, drill" was a mantra rivaling "Make America great again" in his public remarks.
RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR
What he said in the campaign: "I'll get the war with Ukraine and Russia ended. If I'm president-elect, I'll get it done before even becoming president." — Fox News Channel's "Fox & Friends," Sept. 11.
Post-election hedge: His promise to end the war before taking office — or to end it in 24 hours, as he sometimes put it — is about to be broken. He's been bending to that reality: "I think that the Middle East is an easier problem to handle than what's happening with Russia and Ukraine. OK, I just want to say that up front. The Middle East is going to get solved." — Time magazine, Dec. 13, 2024.
'DEEP STATE'
The promise: Launch an effort to fire or otherwise neutralize the influence of federal workers he considers disloyal and an impediment to his agenda. Also, use legal intimidation or other means to crush those he regards as his political enemies.
What he said in the campaign: "You'll see that, on the very first day of my presidency, the 'deep state' is destroying our nation. But the tables must turn, and we will quickly destroy the 'deep state.'" — speech to Alabama GOP dinner in Montgomery, Aug. 4, 2023.
What it means if he keeps his promise: A likely first step is an executive order seeking to reclassify tens of thousands of job-protected and apolitical civil servants as political appointees, subject to being fired at will. He would do so by reviving his Schedule F order from 2020, which Biden reversed when he took office.